Friday, September 03, 2004
Undecided + Swing Voters Move to Stand with Bush
focus groups everywhere conclude vast numbers of undecided + swing voters made a shift to Bush based on their impressions of his speech concluding the Republican National Convention. Frank Luntz focus group has Bush beating Kerry by 15 to 6 among swing voters and that 13 of them decided specifically because of Bush's speech, Luntz stating "Bush's speech was an overwhelming success" and "It is the second most positive convention speech I have ever tested."
Zogby has Bush gaining a 9 point bounce from the convention and Bush now leading by double digits amongst investor class to include people with 401Ks. Today's economic news shows unemployment dropping to 5.4% nationally (Clinton won re-election in 1996 with the unemployment rate at 5.6%). No wonder Kerry, in a drunken stupor, came out at midnight last night to show the kind of contrast that can only add to Bush's gains and leave even his strongest supporters questioning his sanity and suitability for office. The reaction from Kerry's supporters? they haven't been nasty or hateful enough this campaign and need to start attacking Bush & Cheney as draft dodgers and traitors to the country. Susan Estrich responds in kind by threatening her Dukakis / Kerry Mass. brethren will start dumping the dirt.
Late Friday news out from CNN / Time Magazine noting Bush has opened up an 11% point lead: "For the first time since the Presidential race became a two person contest last spring, there is a clear leader, the latest TIME poll shows. If the 2004 election for President were held today, 52% of likely voters surveyed would vote for President George W. Bush, 41% would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry, and 3% would vote for Ralph Nader, according to a new TIME poll conducted from Aug. 31 to Sept. 2. Poll results are available on TIME.com and will appear in the upcoming issue of TIME magazine, on newsstands Monday, Sept. 6."